Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.052387 0.061128 0.070730 0.082038 0.094972 0.109282 0.126289
2025-02-23 0.038393 0.049628 0.063126 0.080452 0.102013 0.127861 0.161088
2025-03-02 0.029178 0.041338 0.057154 0.079042 0.108328 0.145908 0.197487
2025-03-09 0.023579 0.036257 0.053950 0.080099 0.117343 0.167984 0.241427
2025-03-16 0.018546 0.030798 0.049052 0.077714 0.120925 0.182814 0.277082
2025-03-23 0.016221 0.028813 0.048673 0.081518 0.133485 0.211248 0.334642
2025-03-30 0.013746 0.026051 0.046539 0.082131 0.141052 0.232879 0.384191
2025-04-06 0.011351 0.022916 0.043217 0.080191 0.144096 0.247593 0.424284
2025-04-13 0.009518 0.020410 0.040505 0.078761 0.147585 0.263068 0.466723
2025-04-20 0.008721 0.019705 0.040863 0.082700 0.160577 0.295219 0.539221
2025-04-27 0.007917 0.018825 0.040731 0.085656 0.172045 0.325705 0.611425
2025-05-04 0.006696 0.016819 0.038076 0.083393 0.173577 0.338837 0.654483
2025-05-11 0.005780 0.015331 0.036290 0.082698 0.178188 0.358275 0.711230
2025-05-18 0.004877 0.013684 0.033898 0.080418 0.179413 0.371577 0.758026
2025-05-25 0.004156 0.012321 0.031900 0.078667 0.181453 0.386536 0.809162
2025-06-01 0.003710 0.011562 0.031153 0.079543 0.189007 0.412817 0.884108
2025-06-08 0.003140 0.010337 0.029083 0.077087 0.189086 0.424126 0.930550
2025-06-15 0.002959 0.010172 0.029610 0.080816 0.203199 0.465273 1.040046
2025-06-22 0.002651 0.009560 0.028888 0.081401 0.210234 0.492216 1.122574
2025-06-29 0.002280 0.008665 0.027255 0.079464 0.211172 0.506200 1.179157
2025-07-06 0.001981 0.007920 0.025901 0.078040 0.213134 0.522517 1.241886
2025-07-13 0.001892 0.007869 0.026520 0.081943 0.228511 0.569867 1.375211
2025-07-20 0.001778 0.007702 0.026771 0.084872 0.241755 0.613425 1.503294